20. Air Force Falcons (5-1, 3-0)
Air Force has had a surprisingly good year. After curbstomping BYU, they barely lost to top ten team Oklahoma, and then went on a three game winning streak.
Albeit they have had some pretty ugly games, Air Force gets it done. If it wasn't for the lone loss against the Sooners, I venture to say they'd be a top 15 team right now.
In two weeks they'll get another test against TCU. Winning that game would seal a MWC championship in my opinion, and almost guarantee them a top 15 finish.
19. Nevada Wolfpack (6-0, 1-0)
Nevada is currently the second best offense in the nation. Now some may bag on the Wolfpack for not playing any real teams, however they've taken down Pac-10 team California by over 20 points.
Their real test will come against Boise State. Other than that game the Wolfpack should remain undefeated. Colin Kaepernick is a great quarterback, and I think he'll be able to lead Nevada through the year successfully.
18. Iowa Hawkeyes (4-1, 1-0)
Iowa lost to Arizona, plain and simple.
Ricky Stanzi is having a great year so far, and if it weren't for the Arizona game they would be a top 15 team right now. A win against Penn State looked impressive at the time, and while its worth has gone down its their most convincing win.
As it stands however, Iowa has yet to beat a ranked team.
I see 2-3 more losses out of the Hawkeyes as well, and as I predicted at the beginning of this season...this is not Iowa's year.
17. Arizona Wildcats (4-1, 1-1)
Arizona hasn't impressed me all year, other than the Iowa game. They beat two crap teams, barely edged out Cal, and then lost to Oregon State.
They have a good team, don't get me wrong. But I think they'll lose about three more times, and finish about where they are now.
Nick Foles is a good quarterback, and Nic Grigsby is a great running back, but who are we kidding...Arizona is not a top 10 team.
16. Oregon State Beavers (3-2, 2-0)
In my opinion the Beavers are a great football team. September is always horrible for OSU, especially when you have the hardest schedule in the nation and play two top five teams in three weeks.
They played admirably in both losses (Boise State, TCU) and have knocked off some good teams already in Arizona and Louisville (who in my opinion are underrated).
The problem is that every single game is a close battle, something the Beavers have to get over if they're to be respected in the BCS poll.
OSU faces some touch Pac-10 competition ahead in Washington, USC, Stanford, and Oregon, those last three right in a row.
If the Beavers can win just 2 or 3 of those games, I'd put them in the top 10.