BY DOUGLAS [email protected] financing plan behind a new Florida Marlins ballpark continues to predict a modest decline in hotel taxes this year, even as industry experts forecast a much steeper drop.But new scenarios released by Miami-Dade County show the stadium plan can absorb even a catastrophic plunge in hotel taxes, provided the tourism industry recovers in equally dramatic fashion.With critics calling his forecasts too optimistic, County Manager George Burgess this weekend released seven alternate scenarios detailing how a rocky tourism market could affect the plan to fund $300 million in stadium debt with hotel taxes.One of the most dire hypotheticals assumes a 16 percent decline in hotel taxes in the budget year that began Oct. 1, far worse than the 9 percent drop...

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