Ever since the book came out, Moneyball has been the talk of baseball strategists. The thought that there is some secret formula to finding successful players who are flying below the radar makes both fan and baseball executive salivate. So, does the formula work? Does it have any resemblance to reality? If it is so accurate, then why hasn't Billy Beane's team won a World Series yet? As I have written in times past, I am a numbers guy. I believe that if you look at statistics in the right way, and that if you include the right amount of data, the numbers will tell you a story that may not be obvious to the casual observer. This is true in finance, in medicine, in every legitimate scientific study, and it is true in baseball too. The fact is that we have always known this. A guy hits...

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