Ever since the bookcame out, Moneyball has been the talk of baseball strategists. The thought thatthere is some secret formula to finding successful players who are flying belowthe radar makes both fan and baseball executive salivate. So, does the formulawork? Does it have any resemblance to reality? If it is so accurate, then whyhasn't Billy Beane's team won a World Series yet?As I have written intimes past, I am a numbers guy. I believe that if you look at statistics in theright way, and that if you include the right amount of data, the numbers willtell you a story that may not be obvious to the casual observer. This is truein finance, in medicine, in every legitimate scientific study, and it is truein baseball too. The fact is that we have always known this. A guy hits .300 ormore,...

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